The BEST MLB Bets for Friday, April 24th

Today we have 4 picks for the evening Friday slate. A few pitchers we love, one we don’t, and two hitters that should do some damage. To see our full card, including my FAVORITE pick for today exclusive for Dabble customers, sign up on Dabble using code BSBLR and get a free $10.

Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 6:07 PM CT

The Big G has had an excellent start to his 2026 campaign. Through 5 games his xBA sits at .184 (88th percentile). Combined with his high BB% this is a recipe for extremely low hits allowed. He is under this line in 5/5 games this year and 81% of games last year.

While Toronto is swinging the bat nice lately, this line still seems high. Of the 18 traditional RHP starters the Jays have faced, 14 have finished under this line. 

The reason we have this high line is because Toronto does not strike out much and doesn’t draw many walks. More balls in play = more chances for hits.

I believe Gavin Williams is more of a constant rather than a variable. He’s going to pitch his game, which includes long ABs, pitches outside the zone, and hunting for Ks. 

He has 2+ BBs in 78% of games last year and 80% of games this year. When RHP starters vs the Jays have 2+ BBs this year, they have finished under this line 100% of the time (7/7). Williams also has a 5.5 K line. When RHP starters have 5+ Ks vs the Jays, they are under this line in 8/8 games (100%).

I simply think this line is too high for Gavin. 

The Pick: Gavin Williams Under 5.5 Hits Allowed 1u (-133)

Athletics vs Texas Rangers @7:05 PM CT

We’re getting the Clash of the Titans today: Home Eovaldi vs Road Athletics.

When the Athletics aren’t in their Mickey Mouse ballpark, their numbers drop drastically. They have the 5th-highest K% on the road, the 9th-worst wRC+, and the 4th-lowest BB%.

66% of pitchers have gone under this line vs the Athletics at home, with over half giving up just 1 ER or less. Pitchers that have given up 3+ ER have included Logan Gilbert, Kodai Senga, and Jose Suarez. So not the best company.

Eovaldi is NOT even close to those pitchers. After struggling vs the Phillies and Orioles to start the season, he’s back to his Ace ways.

Evoaldi has 4 ER in the last 3 games combined with 17 strikeouts. His whiff% and xBA have plummeted in the last 3 games.

Oh yeah, and he’s at home today.

Eovaldi is under this line in 10/12 home games since 2025, with 5 games of 0 earned runs.

In his last 13 innings vs the Athletics, he’s given up just 1 run and 9 hits. Several players on the As have been hitless vs. Eovaldi in the last 2 seasons, including Kurtz, Cortez, Butler, and Gelof.

The Pick: Nathan Eovaldi Under 2.5 Earned Runs 1u (-125)

Hit Parlay of the Day

Kevin McGonigle + Jo Adell 1+ Hit 1u (+105)

McGonigle

McGonigle is hitting .300 with a .285 xBA vs LHP this year, and his .356 xBA vs LHP 4-Seams gives him an added edge today against Abbott, who has allowed a .478 BAA vs LHH in 2026. He is projected to bat 3rd on the Road in Cincinnati, which sets up nicely for counting stats, and the hitting conditions at Great American Ball Park today are ideal.

Adell

Adell has a .348 xBA vs LHP on the year and the matchup against Cameron could not set up better. Cameron sits at a .310 xBA, which is 6th percentile across MLB. Adell has a .320 xBA since 2025 specifically against Cameron’s pitch mix of 4-Seam, Changeup, and Cutter. He has also recorded 1+ hit in 7 of his last 8 games vs LHP this year. That is an 88% hit rate. This one is straightforward.

If you want to see our last (and my personal favorite) pick, sign up on Dabble using code BSBLR and get a free $10. Best of luck if tailing!!