Today we have two picks for the Tuesday slate. To see our full card for the rest of the season, sign up on Dabble using code BSBLR and get a free $10. Dabble is the premier Daily Fantasy Sports app for MLB action. Now onto the picks.
New York Mets vs Washington Nationals @ 5:45 PM CT
McLean is under this line in 6/9 games this year (67%) and in 76% of games across his MLB career. He is one of the elite arms in the bigs currently. The expected numbers back up his success, with an 88th percentile xERA and 86th percentile xBA.
Washington comes into the game very average vs RHP. Their wRC+ over the L30 days sits right at 100.
McLean is coming off a rough start vs Detroit where he allowed 6 H and 3 ER. McLean bounces back after tough starts. In both instances this year where he allowed 3 ER, he followed it up the next game by only allowing 1 ER.
Although a small sample size, McLean thrives in the heat. In 4 games across his career in temperatures over 80 degrees, he has a 0.50 ERA, .167 BAA, and .255 wOBA. It is expected to be 93 degrees at first pitch in DC today. He played college ball in Oklahoma, obviously he is used to it.
A guy like McLean shouldn’t have a 2.5 ER line. Perfect buy low spot here.
The Pick: Nolan McLean Under 2.5 ER 1u (-130)
Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs @ 6:40 PM CT
PCA gets the Miz today. I feel bad for PCA.
Across 7 career PAs, PCA is 0/7 with 5 Ks. It makes sense, Miz owns LHH. Since his debut Miz has just a .179 BAA and 41.9 K% vs LHH.
PCA comes into the game with a .145 xBA vs RHP since 5/10. He is projected to bat 8th today and the Cubs are at home. There is a very decent shot PCA gets only 3 PAs, with at least 2, maybe 3 coming against Miz. This feels like great value at + money.
The Pick: Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 H .75u (+113)
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